SECOND INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON
IMPRECISE PROBABILITIES AND THEIR APPLICATIONS
Cornell University
Ithaca, NY, USA
26 - 29 June 2001

ELECTRONIC PROCEEDINGS

Renato Pelessoni, Paolo Vicig

Coherent Risk Measures and Upper Previsions

Abstract

In this paper coherent risk measures and other currently used risk measures, notably Value-at-Risk (VaR), are studied from the perspective of the theory of coherent imprecise previsions. We show that coherent risk measures are a special case of coherent upper previsions and extend their definition and several properties to arbitrary sets of risks. We also prove that Value-at-Risk does not necessarily satisfy a weaker notion of coherence called Avoiding Sure Loss (ASL), and discuss both sufficient conditions for VaR to be ASL and ways of modifying VaR into a coherent risk measure.

Keywords. Coherent risk measure, imprecise prevision, Value-at-Risk, Avoiding Sure Loss condition

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Authors addresses:

Renato Pelessoni
Renato Pelessoni
Dipartimento di Matematica applicata 'B. de Finetti'
Facolta' di Economia
Universita' di Trieste
Piazzale Europa, 1
I - 34127 Trieste, Italy

Paolo Vicig
Paolo Vicig
Dipartimento di Matematica applicata 'B. de Finetti'
Facolta' di Economia
Universita' di Trieste
Piazzale Europa, 1
I - 34127 Trieste, Italy

E-mail addresses:

Renato Pelessoni renatop@econ.univ.trieste.it
Paolo Vicig paolov@econ.univ.trieste.it


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